Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Forecasting the volatility of stock price index
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
A type-2 fuzzy rule-based expert system model for stock price analysis
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Option valuation based on the neural regression model
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Nonlinear neural network forecasting model for stock index option price: Hybrid GJR-GARCH approach
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Volatility model based on multi-stock index for TAIEX forecasting
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
A neural-network-based nonlinear metamodeling approach to financial time series forecasting
Applied Soft Computing
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Artificial neural networks with evolutionary instance selection for financial forecasting
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Volatility forecast using hybrid Neural Network models
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal
Fuzzy artificial neural network p, d, q model for incomplete financial time series forecasting
Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems: Applications in Engineering and Technology
Hi-index | 12.05 |
Forecasting volatility is an essential step in many financial decision makings. GARCH family of models has been extensively used in finance and economics, particularly for estimating volatility. The motivation of this study is to enhance the ability of GARCH models in forecasting the return volatility. We propose two hybrid models based on EGARCH and Artificial Neural Networks to forecast the volatility of S&P 500 index. The estimates of volatility obtained by an EGARCH model are fed forward to a Neural Network. The input to the first hybrid model is complemented by historical values of other explanatory variables. The second hybrid model takes as inputs both series of the simulated data and explanatory variables. The forecasts obtained by each of those hybrid models have been compared with those of EGARCH model in terms of closeness to the realized volatility. The computational results demonstrate that the second hybrid model provides better volatility forecasts.