Empirical Bayes estimation of random effects of a mixed-effects proportional odds Markov model for ordinal data

  • Authors:
  • Inès Paule;Pascal Girard;Michel Tod

  • Affiliations:
  • Université de Lyon, Lyon, France and EA3738 Ciblage thérapeutique en oncologie, Faculté de Médecine Lyon-Sud, Université Lyon 1, Oullins, France;Université de Lyon, Lyon, France and EA3738 Ciblage thérapeutique en oncologie, Faculté de Médecine Lyon-Sud, Université Lyon 1, Oullins, France;Université de Lyon, Lyon, France and EA3738 Ciblage thérapeutique en oncologie, Faculté de Médecine Lyon-Sud, Université Lyon 1, Oullins, France and Hôpital Croix-Rou ...

  • Venue:
  • Computer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine
  • Year:
  • 2011

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Abstract

The objective of this work was to investigate the factors influencing the quality of empirical Bayes estimates (EBEs) of individual random effects of a mixed-effects Markov model for ordered categorical data. It was motivated by an attempt to develop a model-based dose adaptation tool for clinical use in colorectal cancer patients receiving capecitabine, which induces severe hand-and-foot syndrome (HFS) toxicity in more than a half of the patients. This simulation-based study employed a published mixed-effects model for HFS. The quality of EBEs was assessed in terms of accuracy and precision, as well as shrinkage. Three optimization algorithms were compared: simplex, quasi-Newton and adaptive random search. The investigated factors were amount of data per patient, distribution of categories within patients, magnitude of the inter-individual variability, and values of the effect model parameters. The main factors affecting the quality of EBEs were the values of parameters governing the dose-response relationship and the within-subject distribution of categories. For the chosen HFS toxicity model, the accuracy and precision of EBEs were rather low, and therefore the feasibility of their use for individual model-based dose adaptation seemed limited.