Evidential reasoning using stochastic simulation of causal models
Artificial Intelligence
Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems: networks of plausible inference
Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems: networks of plausible inference
Abductive inference models for diagnostic problem-solving
Abductive inference models for diagnostic problem-solving
Gibbs sampling in Bayesian networks (research note)
Artificial Intelligence
Use of the Gibbs sampler in expert systems
Artificial Intelligence
Approximating probabilistic inference in Bayesian belief networks is NP-hard
Artificial Intelligence
Blocking Gibbs sampling in very large probabilistic expert systems
International Journal of Human-Computer Studies - Special issue: real-world applications of uncertain reasoning
Proceedings of the 1999 ACM symposium on Applied computing
Optimal Monte Carlo estimation of belief network inference
UAI'96 Proceedings of the Twelfth international conference on Uncertainty in artificial intelligence
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Bayesian networks offer great potential for use in automating large scale diagnostic reasoning tasks. Gibbs sampling is the main technique used to perform diagnostic reasoning in large richly interconnected Bayesian networks. Unfortunately Gibbs sampling can take an excessive time to generate a representative sample. In this paper we describe and test a number of heuristic strategies for improving sampling in noisy-or Bayesian networks. The strategies include Monte Carlo Markov chain sampling techniques other than Gibbs sampling. Emphasis is put on strategies that can be implemented in distributed systems.