Cautious propagation in Bayesian networks

  • Authors:
  • Finn V. Jensen

  • Affiliations:
  • Aalborg University, Dept. of Math. & Computer Science, Aalborg

  • Venue:
  • UAI'95 Proceedings of the Eleventh conference on Uncertainty in artificial intelligence
  • Year:
  • 1995

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Abstract

Consider the situation where some evidence e has been entered to a Bayesian network. When performing conflict analysis, sensitivity analysis, or when answering questions like "What if the finding on X had been y instead of x?", you need probabilities P(e′|h) where e′ is a subset of e, and h is a configuration of a (possibly empty) set of variables. Cautious propagation is a modification of HUGIN propagation into a Shafer-Shenoy-like architecture. It is less efficient than HUGIN propagation; however, it provides easy access to P(e′|h) for a great deal of relevant subsets e′.