Fusion, propagation, and structuring in belief networks
Artificial Intelligence
Decision theory in expert systems and artificial intelligence
International Journal of Approximate Reasoning
Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems: networks of plausible inference
Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems: networks of plausible inference
Search-based methods to bound diagnostic probabilities in very large belief nets
Proceedings of the seventh conference (1991) on Uncertainty in artificial intelligence
Decision analysis and expert systems
AI Magazine
Dynamic network models for forecasting
UAI '92 Proceedings of the eighth conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
Approximating probabilistic inference in Bayesian belief networks is NP-hard
Artificial Intelligence
A Tractable Inference Algorithm for Diagnosing Multiple Diseases
UAI '89 Proceedings of the Fifth Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
Probabilistic similarity networks
Probabilistic similarity networks
A method of computing generalized Bayesian probability values for expert systems
IJCAI'83 Proceedings of the Eighth international joint conference on Artificial intelligence - Volume 1
MUNIN: a causal probabilistic network for interpretation of electromyographic findings
IJCAI'87 Proceedings of the 10th international joint conference on Artificial intelligence - Volume 1
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The inherent intractability of probabilistic inference has hindered the application of belief networks to large domains. Noisy OR-gates [30] and probabilistic similarity networks [18, 17] escape the complexity of inference by restricting model expressiveness. Recent work in the application of belief-network models to time-series analysis and forecasting [9, 10] has given rise to the additive belief-network model (ABNM). We (1) discuss the nature and implications of the approximations made by an additive decomposition of a belief network, (2) show greater efficiency in the induction of additive models when available data are scarce, (3) generalize probabilistic inference algorithms to exploit the additive decomposition of ABNMs, (4) show greater efficiency of inference, and (5) compare results on inference with a simple additive belief network.