Evidential reasoning using stochastic simulation of causal models
Artificial Intelligence
Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems: networks of plausible inference
Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems: networks of plausible inference
Architectures and approximation algorithms for probabilistic expert systems
Architectures and approximation algorithms for probabilistic expert systems
Computation and action under bounded resources
Computation and action under bounded resources
Simulation Approaches to General Probabilistic Inference on Belief Networks
UAI '89 Proceedings of the Fifth Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
Weighing and Integrating Evidence for Stochastic Simulation in Bayesian Networks
UAI '89 Proceedings of the Fifth Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
Ideal reformulation of belief networks
UAI '90 Proceedings of the Sixth Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
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We describe how we selectively reformulate portions of a belief network that pose difficulties for solution with a stochastic-simulation algorithm. With employ the selective conditioning approach to target specific nodes in a belief network for decomposition, based on the contribution the nodes make to the tractability of stochastic simulation. We review previous work on BNRAS algorithms-- randomized approximation algorithms for probabilistic inference. We show how selective conditioning can be employed to reformulate a single BNRAS problem into multiple tractable BNRAS simulation problems. We discuss how we can use another simulation algorithm--logic sampling--to solve a component of the inference problem that provides a means for knitting the solutions of individual subproblems into a final result. Finally, we analyze tradeoffs among the computational subtasks associated with the selective-conditioning approach to reformulation.