Rate estimation in partially observed Markov jump processes with measurement errors

  • Authors:
  • Michael Amrein;Hans R. Künsch

  • Affiliations:
  • Seminar für Statistik, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland 8092;Seminar für Statistik, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland 8092

  • Venue:
  • Statistics and Computing
  • Year:
  • 2012

Quantified Score

Hi-index 0.00

Visualization

Abstract

We present a simulation methodology for Bayesian estimation of rate parameters in Markov jump processes arising for example in stochastic kinetic models. To handle the problem of missing components and measurement errors in observed data, we embed the Markov jump process into the framework of a general state space model. We do not use diffusion approximations. Markov chain Monte Carlo and particle filter type algorithms are introduced which allow sampling from the posterior distribution of the rate parameters and the Markov jump process also in data-poor scenarios. The algorithms are illustrated by applying them to rate estimation in a model for prokaryotic auto-regulation and the stochastic Oregonator, respectively.