International Journal of Intelligent Systems
IJCNN'09 Proceedings of the 2009 international joint conference on Neural Networks
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In this paper, an advanced system based on artificial intelligence and fuzzy logic techniques is developed to predict the wind power output of a wind farm. A fuzzy logic model is applied first to check the reliability of the numerical weather predictions (NWPs) and to split them in two sub-sets, of good and bad quality NWPs, respectively. Two Radial Basis Function (RBF) neural networks, one for each sub-set are trained next to estimate the wind power. Results from a real wind farm are presented and the added value of the proposed method is demonstrated by comparison with alternative methods.