A genetic programming approach to solomonoff's probabilistic induction

  • Authors:
  • Ivanoe De Falco;Antonio Della Cioppa;Domenico Maisto;Ernesto Tarantino

  • Affiliations:
  • Institute of High Performance Computing and Networking, National Research Council of Italy (ICAR–CNR), Naples, Italy;Natural Computation Lab – DIIIE, University of Salerno, Fisciano (SA), Italy;Department of Physical Sciences, University of Naples “Federico II”, Naples, Italy;Institute of High Performance Computing and Networking, National Research Council of Italy (ICAR–CNR), Naples, Italy

  • Venue:
  • EuroGP'06 Proceedings of the 9th European conference on Genetic Programming
  • Year:
  • 2006

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Abstract

In the context of Solomonoff's Inductive Inference theory, Induction operator plays a key role in modeling and correctly predicting the behavior of a given phenomenon. Unfortunately, this operator is not algorithmically computable. The present paper deals with a Genetic Programming approach to Inductive Inference, with reference to Solomonoff's algorithmic probability theory, that consists in evolving a population of mathematical expressions looking for the ‘optimal' one that generates a collection of data and has a maximal a priori probability. Validation is performed on Coulomb's Law, on the Henon series and on the Arosa Ozone time series. The results show that the method is effective in obtaining the analytical expression of the first two problems, and in achieving a very good approximation and forecasting of the third.