International Journal of Man-Machine Studies
Cognitive mapping and certainty neuron fuzzy cognitive maps
Information Sciences: an International Journal
Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems
Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems
Rule Based Expert Systems: The Mycin Experiments of the Stanford Heuristic Programming Project (The Addison-Wesley series in artificial intelligence)
Adaptive estimation of fuzzy cognitive maps with proven stability and parameter convergence
IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems
Intelligent decision-making approach based on fuzzy-causal knowledge and reasoning
IEA/AIE'12 Proceedings of the 25th international conference on Industrial Engineering and Other Applications of Applied Intelligent Systems: advanced research in applied artificial intelligence
Bi-linear adaptive estimation of Fuzzy Cognitive Networks
Applied Soft Computing
Hi-index | 0.00 |
In this paper we use Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs), a well-established Artificial Intelligence technique that incorporates ideas from Artificial Neural Networks and Fuzzy Logic, to create a dynamic model of Turkey’s course towards its integration into the European Union, after the decision of December 18, 2004, according to which in October 3, 2005, Turkey will start negotiating its access to the European Union. FCMs create models as collections of concepts and the various causal relations that exist between these concepts. The decision capabilities of the FCM structure are examined and presented using a model developed based on the beliefs of a domain expert in the political situation in Turkey & European Union. The model is examined both statically using graph theory techniques and dynamically through simulations. Scenarios are introduced and predictions are made by viewing dynamically the consequences of the corresponding actions.