Environmental time series prediction by improved classical feed-forward neural networks

  • Authors:
  • Maurizio Campolo;Narcís Clara;Carlo Francesco Morabito

  • Affiliations:
  • Dipartimento di informatica, matematica, elettronica e trasporti, Università Mediterranea di Reggio Calabria;Departament d'informàtica i matemàtica aplicada, Universitat de Girona;Dipartimento di informatica, matematica, elettronica e trasporti, Università Mediterranea di Reggio Calabria

  • Venue:
  • WIRN'05 Proceedings of the 16th Italian conference on Neural Nets
  • Year:
  • 2005

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Abstract

The water quality at the issue of a wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) is a complex work because of its complexity and variability when conditions suddenly change. Two main techniques has been used to improve classical feed-forward neural network. First, a classical adaptative gradient learning rule has been complemented with a Kalman learning rule which is especially effective for noisy behavioral problems. Second, two independent variable selection components -based on genetic algorithms and fuzzy ranking- have been implemented to try to improve performance and generalization. The global study shows that reliable results are obtained which permit to guarantee that neural networks are a confidence tool on this subject.