Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems: networks of plausible inference
Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems: networks of plausible inference
A comparison of decision alaysis and expert rules for sequential diagnosis
UAI '88 Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
Probabilistic similarity networks
Probabilistic similarity networks
Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
Determining the value of information for collaborative multi-agent planning
Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems
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Value-of-information analyses provide a straightforward means for selecting the best next observation to make, and for determining whether it is better to gather additional information or to act immediately. Determining the next best test to perform, given a state of uncertainty about the world, requires a consideration of the value of making all possible sequences of observations. In practice, decision analysts and expert-system designers have avoided the intractability of exact computation of the value of information by relying on a myopic approximation. Myopic analyses are based on the assumption that only one additional test will be performed, even when there is an opportunity to make a large number of observations. We present a nonmyopic approximation for value of information that bypasses the traditional myopic analyses by exploiting the statistical properties of large samples.