Uncertainty in the environmental modelling process - A framework and guidance
Environmental Modelling & Software
Fuzzy knowledge-based model for soil condition assessment in Argentinean cropping systems
Environmental Modelling & Software
Elicitator: An expert elicitation tool for regression in ecology
Environmental Modelling & Software
Environmental Modelling & Software
Environmental Modelling & Software
Adaptive modelling for adaptive water quality management in the Great Barrier Reef region, Australia
Environmental Modelling & Software
Multi-criteria assessment for linking regional conservation planning and farm-scale actions
Environmental Modelling & Software
Web-based tool for expert elicitation of the variogram
Computers & Geosciences
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Elicitation of expert knowledge has proven to be useful in a variety of disciplines including ecology, conservation management and policy. Here we report the development of a protocol and software tool that aids elicitation of expert knowledge of complex systems of count data, focusing on a case study of elicitation of species richness estimates for coral reefs. The software uses newly developed elicitation procedures to elicit probability distributions of counts in a structured and ordered protocol. We present a novel tool that has considerable advantage over more classical ''survey'' type methods for canvassing expert opinion, including the ability to produce rapid feedback based on fitted statistical distributions (thereby ensuring that expert's opinions are captured with accuracy) and a means of estimating credible bounds for estimates (essential when few experts are available). It is user friendly, based on open source software (R and tcl/tk), cross platform (Windows and Mac OSX) and the code can be easily modified to tailor the software to a range of applications.