Economic forecasting by the deterministic-adaptive method
APL '96 Proceedings of the conference on Designing the future
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This paper describes the algorithm for the prediction calculation based upon the non-linear algebraic models' self-organization. Special block for a function recognition provides the decrease of the predicted equations exhaustive search at every stage of model building. Another peculiarity is the bootstrap use as supplementary external criterion. The implementation of this algorithm is a complex software system (calculating module is built in APL*PLUS and user-friendly interface is built in Clipper 5.01). This system works as DOS-application for Windows with dynamic data exchange. We present results of testing the system on real currency exchange rate.