An integrating model of experts’ opinions

  • Authors:
  • Jun Tian;Shaochuan Cheng;Kanliang Wang;Yingluo Wang

  • Affiliations:
  • Management School of Xi’ an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi province, China;Management School of Xi’ an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi province, China;Management School of Xi’ an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi province, China;Management School of Xi’ an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi province, China

  • Venue:
  • CASDMKM'04 Proceedings of the 2004 Chinese academy of sciences conference on Data Mining and Knowledge Management
  • Year:
  • 2004

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Abstract

The paper presents a framework for integrating experts’ opinions from the view of systematic optimization, considering factors of consistency or harmony and reliability of all experts’ opinions. The characteristics of consistence of experts’ opinions are defined based on statistics. The reliability function of expert’s opinion is designed and the measurement of the reliability of integration result of all experts’ opinions was then conducted. A non-liner programming model is set up to get the optimal scheme to correspond to the different experts’ opinions that consider systematically influences of the consistency, harmony and reliabilities at the same time. The independence of each expert’s opinion were not only kept but also, well preserved.