Neural network model for forecasting balkan stock exchanges

  • Authors:
  • Miroslav Janeski;Slobodan Kalajdziski

  • Affiliations:
  • Faculty of Computer Science and Engineering, Ss. Cyril and Methodius University, Skopje, Republic of Macedonia;Faculty of Computer Science and Engineering, Ss. Cyril and Methodius University, Skopje, Republic of Macedonia

  • Venue:
  • ICIC'11 Proceedings of the 7th international conference on Advanced Intelligent Computing
  • Year:
  • 2011

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Abstract

Artificial neural networks (NN) can be used to model complex relations between inputs and outputs or to find patterns in data. When dealing with time series the process of prediction with NN has to be adopted to take into account the temporal characteristics of the data. A variety of different aspects of designing NN based forecasting models were introduced, and the most common way of dealing temporal data is by using sliding window. This paper presents a work where NNs are used to forecast stock market prices. We analyze which models are more adequate for different companies from Balkan stock exchanges and determine if there are possible relations among them. Unique aspect of our approach is that we experimentally determine optimal sliding window parameters and optimal number of hidden neurons for the appropriate companies. Also we try to emphasize the main reasons that influents on the forecasting stock market prices.