Multi-agent based analysis of financial data

  • Authors:
  • Tom$#225/$#353/ Tok$#225/r;Denis Horv$#225/th;Michal Hnatič/

  • Affiliations:
  • SORS Research a.s., Ko$#353/ice, Slovakia;SORS Research a.s., Ko$#353/ice, Slovakia;Pavol Jozef Š/af$#225/rik University, Ko$#353/ice, Slovakia

  • Venue:
  • MMCP'11 Proceedings of the 2011 international conference on Mathematical Modeling and Computational Science
  • Year:
  • 2011

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Abstract

In this work the system of agents is applied to establish a model of the nonlinear distributed signal processing. The evolution of the system of the agents --- by the prediction time scale diversified trend followers, has been studied for the stochastic time-varying environments represented by the real currency-exchange time series. The time varying population and its statistical characteristics have been analyzed in the non-interacting and interacting cases. The outputs of our analysis are presented in the form of the mean life-times, mean utilities and corresponding distributions. They show that populations are susceptible to the strength and form of inter-agent interaction. We believe that our results will be useful for the development of the robust adaptive prediction systems.