Piecewise constant timed continuous PNs for the steady state estimation of stochastic PNs

  • Authors:
  • Dimitri Lefebvre;Edouard Leclercq

  • Affiliations:
  • GREAH, University Le Havre, Le Havre, France;GREAH, University Le Havre, Le Havre, France

  • Venue:
  • Discrete Event Dynamic Systems
  • Year:
  • 2012

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Abstract

Reliability analysis is often based on stochastic discrete event models like Markov models or stochastic Petri nets. For complex dynamical systems with numerous components, analytical expressions of the steady state are tedious to work out because of the combinatory explosion with discrete models. The computation of numerical approximations is also time consuming due to the slow convergence of stochastic simulations. For these reasons, fluidification can be investigated to estimate the asymptotic behaviour of stochastic processes. The contributions of this paper are to point out that timed continuous Petri nets may lead to biased estimators of the stochastic steady state and to introduce fluid Petri nets with piecewise-constant maximal firing speeds and sufficient conditions in order to obtain unbiased estimators.