Global sensitivity analysis using complex linear models

  • Authors:
  • Astrid Jourdan

  • Affiliations:
  • Département de Mathématiques, E.I.S.T.I., Pau cedex 9, France 64062

  • Venue:
  • Statistics and Computing
  • Year:
  • 2012

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Abstract

A global sensitivity analysis of complex computer codes is usually performed by calculating the Sobol indices. The indices are estimated using Monte Carlo methods. The Monte Carlo simulations are time-consuming even if the computer response is replaced by a metamodel. This paper proposes a new method for calculating sensitivity indices that overcomes the Monte Carlo estimation. The method assumes a discretization of the domain of simulation and uses the expansion of the computer response on an orthogonal basis of complex functions to built a metamodel. This metamodel is then used to derive an analytical estimation of the Sobol indices. This approach is successfully tested on analytical functions and is compared with two alternative methods.