Extensible software for whole of society modeling: framework and preliminary results

  • Authors:
  • Stephen Lieberman

  • Affiliations:
  • Modeling, Virtual Environments, and Simulation (MOVES) Institute, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, USA

  • Venue:
  • Simulation
  • Year:
  • 2012

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Abstract

In order to extend the ongoing academic and practitioner dialogs germane to Human, Social, Cultural, and Behavioral (HSCB) modeling and simulation, we introduce a novel extensible methodology for modeling Complex Adaptive Social Systems (CASS) that centers on capturing the emergence of dynamic Beliefs, Values, and Interests (BVIs) in the individuals and groups that compose a whole society. We follow Peter Blau, Miller McPherson, Lynn Smith-Lovin, Duncan Watts and many others in positing that human behavior is best understood in terms of the complex social systems within which actions are taken, and that the representation of these social systems must make evident the endogenous structural constraints on opportunities for interpersonal contact and group affiliation. We further demonstrate that the ability to seed social simulations with representative social data about the society being modeled (e.g. from social surveys), and the use of social networks generated using principles of homophily from empirical social science, provide a compelling and actionable framework for both interpreting with and theory building from whole society simulations.