Predicting Interactions Between Agents in Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation of Sociotechnical Systems

  • Authors:
  • Seung Man Lee;A. R. Pritchett

  • Affiliations:
  • Cognitive Eng. Center, Georgia Inst. of Technol., Atlanta, GA;-

  • Venue:
  • IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part A: Systems and Humans
  • Year:
  • 2008

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Abstract

Agent-based modeling and simulation are a valuable research tools for the analysis of dynamic and emergent phenomena of large-scale complex sociotechnical systems. The dynamic behavior of such systems includes both the individual behavior of heterogeneous agents within the system and the emergent behavior arising from interactions between agents; both must be accurately modeled and efficiently executed in simulations. This paper provides a timing and prediction mechanism for the accurate modeling of interactions among agents, correspondingly increasing the computational efficiency of agent-based simulations. A method for assessing the accuracy of interaction prediction methods is described based on signal detection theory. An intelligent interaction timing agent framework that uses a neural network to predict the timing of interactions between heterogeneous agents is presented; this framework dramatically improves the accuracy of interaction timing without requiring detailed scenario-specific modeling efforts for each simulation configuration.