Periodic traveling waves in SIRS endemic models

Authors:
Tong Li;Yi Li;Herbert W. Hethcote
Affiliations:
Department of Mathematics, University of Iowa, 14 MacLean Hall, Iowa City, IA 52242, USA;Department of Mathematics, University of Iowa, 14 MacLean Hall, Iowa City, IA 52242, USA;Department of Mathematics, University of Iowa, 14 MacLean Hall, Iowa City, IA 52242, USA
Venue:
Mathematical and Computer Modelling: An International Journal
Year:
2009

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Abstract

Mathematical models are used to determine if infection wave fronts could occur by traveling geographically in a loop around a region or continent. These infection wave fronts arise by Hopf bifurcation for some spatial models for infectious disease transmission with distributed-contacts. Periodic traveling waves are shown to exist for the spatial analog of the SIRS endemic model, in which the temporary immunity is described by a delay, but they do not exist in a similar spatial SIRS endemic model without a delay. Specifically, we found that the ratio of the delay @w in the recovered class and the average infectious period 1/@c must be sufficiently large for Hopf bifurcation to occur.