Multicriteria analysis of natural gas destination in Brazil: An application of the TODIM method

  • Authors:
  • Luiz Flavio Autran Monteiro Gomes;Luis Alberto Duncan Rangel;Francisco José Coelho MaranhãO

  • Affiliations:
  • Ibmec/RJ, Av. Presidente Wilson, 118, 11th floor, Rio de Janeiro, CEP 20030-020, RJ, Brazil;School of Industrial and Metallurgical Engineering-UFF, Av. dos Trabalhadores 420, 27.255-125, Volta Redonda, RJ, Brazil;OGX Oil & Gas, Praia do Flamengo, 154, 7th floor, Rio de Janeiro, CEP 22210-030, RJ, Brazil

  • Venue:
  • Mathematical and Computer Modelling: An International Journal
  • Year:
  • 2009

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Abstract

This article approaches the problem of selecting the best option for the destination of the natural gas reserves recently discovered in the Mexilhao field in the Santos basin, Brazil. The aims of the study reported here were: (1) to create a mechanism which assists in the process of analyzing and selecting the best options for the destination of natural gas; (2) to enable the decision agents to choose the investment options best aligned to the expectations and objectives observed in the company strategies; and (3) to permit the decision agents the identification in the most systematic, clear and wide-ranging manner, new opportunities in which they act or are interested in acting, taking into consideration a larger and more diversified base of the principal aspects which influence the choice or recommendation. The multicriteria analysis employed in the study made use of the TODIM method, a discrete multicriteria method based on Prospect Theory. The application of the TODIM method demonstrated that it can be extremely useful when recommending options for upstream projects, owing to the fact that it can clearly identify the most important alternatives in the face of the scenarios tested and in relation to the criteria expressed.