Optimal control of nonlinear dynamic econometric models: An algorithm and an application

  • Authors:
  • V. Blueschke-Nikolaeva;D. Blueschke;R. Neck

  • Affiliations:
  • -;-;-

  • Venue:
  • Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
  • Year:
  • 2012

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Abstract

OPTCON is an algorithm for the optimal control of nonlinear stochastic systems which is particularly applicable to econometric models. It delivers approximate numerical solutions to optimum control problems with a quadratic objective function for nonlinear econometric models with additive and multiplicative (parameter) uncertainties. The algorithm was programmed in C# and allows for deterministic and stochastic control, the latter with open-loop and passive learning (open-loop feedback) information patterns. The applicability of the algorithm is demonstrated by experiments with a small quarterly macroeconometric model for Slovenia. This illustrates the convergence and the practical usefulness of the algorithm and (in most cases) the superiority of open-loop feedback over open-loop controls.