Performance bounds for nonlinear time series prediction
COLT '97 Proceedings of the tenth annual conference on Computational learning theory
Nonparametric Time Series Prediction Through Adaptive ModelSelection
Machine Learning
UAI'98 Proceedings of the Fourteenth conference on Uncertainty in artificial intelligence
On convergence rates of mixtures of polynomial experts
Neural Computation
| Hi-index | 754.84 |
We examine some mathematical aspects of learning unknown mappings with the mixture of experts model (MEM). Specifically, we observe that the MEM is at least as powerful as a class of neural networks, in a sense that will be made precise. Upper bounds on the approximation error are established for a wide class of target functions. The general theorem states that ||f-fn||p⩽c/nr d/ for f∈Wpr(L) (a Sobolev class over [-1,1]d), and fn belongs to an n-dimensional manifold of normalized ridge functions. The same bound holds for the MEM as a special case of the above. The stochastic error, in the context of learning from independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) examples, is also examined. An asymptotic analysis establishes the limiting behavior of this error, in terms of certain pseudo-information matrices. These results substantiate the intuition behind the MEM, and motivate applications