Alcohol consumption in Spain and its economic cost: A mathematical modeling approach

Authors:
Francisco-José Santonja;Emilio SáNchez;MaríA Rubio;José-Luis Morera
Affiliations:
Departamento de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, Universidad de Valencia, Spain;Unidad de Conductas Adictivas de Catarroja, Agencia Valenciana de Salud, Spain;Instituto de Matemática Multidisciplinar, Universidad Politécnica de Valencia, Spain;Instituto de Matemática Multidisciplinar, Universidad Politécnica de Valencia, Spain
Venue:
Mathematical and Computer Modelling: An International Journal
Year:
2010

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Abstract

In this paper, a mathematical model for alcohol consumption in Spanish population is proposed. Its parameters are estimated by fitting the model to real data from Spanish Ministry of Health. Predictions about the future behavior of the alcohol consumption in Spain are presented using this model. Results are applied to estimate the economic costs (sanitary and non-sanitary) assumed by Spanish society that are derived from this consumption.