Error estimation by series association for neural network systems

  • Authors:
  • Keehoon Kim;Eric B. Bartlett

  • Affiliations:
  • -;-

  • Venue:
  • Neural Computation
  • Year:
  • 1995

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Abstract

Estimation of confidence intervals for neural network outputs isimportant when the uncertainty of a neural network system must beaddressed for safety or reliability. This paper presents a newapproach for estimating confidence intervals, which can help usersvalidate neural network outputs. The estimation of confidenceintervals, called error estimation by series association, isperformed by a supplementary neural network trained to predict theerror of the main neural network using input features and theoutput of the main network. The accuracy of this approach is shownusing a simple nonlinear mapping and more complicated, realisticnuclear power plant fault diagnosis problems. The resultsdemonstrate that the approach performs confidence estimationsuccessfully.