SocInfo'12 Proceedings of the 4th international conference on Social Informatics
Understanding election candidate approval ratings using social media data
Proceedings of the 22nd international conference on World Wide Web companion
Leveraging candidate popularity on Twitter to predict election outcome
Proceedings of the 7th Workshop on Social Network Mining and Analysis
Modelling political disaffection from Twitter data
Proceedings of the Second International Workshop on Issues of Sentiment Discovery and Opinion Mining
Multi-cycle forecasting of congressional elections with social media
Proceedings of the 2nd workshop on Politics, elections and data
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To what extend can one use Twitter in opinion polls for political elections? Merely counting Twitter messages mentioning political party names is no guarantee for obtaining good election predictions. By improving the quality of the document collection and by performing sentiment analysis, predictions based on entity counts in tweets can be considerably improved, and become nearly as good as traditionally obtained opinion polls.