A new integrated tool for complex decision making: Application to the UK energy sector

  • Authors:
  • Julian David Hunt;René BañAres-AlcáNtara;David Hanbury

  • Affiliations:
  • -;-;-

  • Venue:
  • Decision Support Systems
  • Year:
  • 2013

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Abstract

This paper presents a new integrated tool and decision support framework to approach complex problems resulting from the interaction of many multi-criteria issues. The framework is embedded in an integrated tool called OUTDO (Oxford University Tool for Decision Organisation). OUTDO integrates Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA), decision rationale representation and management, and probabilistic forecasting to explore how changes in external parameters affect complicated and uncertain decision-making processes. OUTDO's features are showcased with a case study which recommends future energy sources for the Yorkshire and the Humber region in the UK, taking into consideration water consumption and the possibility of desalination of sea water.