Restart: a straightforward method for fast simulation of rare events
WSC '94 Proceedings of the 26th conference on Winter simulation
A comparison of RESTART implementations
Proceedings of the 30th conference on Winter simulation
The theory of direct probability redistribution and its application to rare event simulation
ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation (TOMACS)
Multilevel Splitting for Estimating Rare Event Probabilities
Operations Research
Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability
Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability
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We present a large deviations analysis for the performance of an interacting particle method for rare event estimation. The analysis is restricted to a one-dimensional setting, though even in this restricted setting a number of new techniques must be developed. In contrast to the large deviations analyses of related algorithms, for interacting particle schemes it is an occupation measure analysis that is relevant, and within this framework many standard assumptions (stationarity, Feller property) can no longer be assumed. The methods developed are not limited to the question of performance analysis, and in fact give the full large deviations principle for such systems.