Change-point detection in time-series data by relative density-ratio estimation

  • Authors:
  • Song Liu;Makoto Yamada;Nigel Collier;Masashi Sugiyama

  • Affiliations:
  • Tokyo Institute of Technology, 2-12-1 O-okayama, Meguro-ku, Tokyo 152-8552, Japan;NTT Communication Science Laboratories, 2-4, Hikaridai, Seika-cho, Kyoto 619-0237, Japan;National Institute of Informatics (NII), 2-1-2 Hitotsubashi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 101-8430, Japan and European Bioinformatics Institute (EBI), Wellcome Trust Genome Campus, Hinxton, Cambridge CB10 1S ...;Tokyo Institute of Technology, 2-12-1 O-okayama, Meguro-ku, Tokyo 152-8552, Japan

  • Venue:
  • Neural Networks
  • Year:
  • 2013

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Abstract

The objective of change-point detection is to discover abrupt property changes lying behind time-series data. In this paper, we present a novel statistical change-point detection algorithm based on non-parametric divergence estimation between time-series samples from two retrospective segments. Our method uses the relative Pearson divergence as a divergence measure, and it is accurately and efficiently estimated by a method of direct density-ratio estimation. Through experiments on artificial and real-world datasets including human-activity sensing, speech, and Twitter messages, we demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed method.