Computational Statistics & Data Analysis - Nonlinear methods and data mining
Patterns of temporal variation in online media
Proceedings of the fourth ACM international conference on Web search and data mining
Predicting popular messages in Twitter
Proceedings of the 20th international conference companion on World wide web
User browsing behavior-driven web crawling
Proceedings of the 20th ACM international conference on Information and knowledge management
Proceedings of the fifth ACM international conference on Web search and data mining
Dynamical classes of collective attention in twitter
Proceedings of the 21st international conference on World Wide Web
Modeling and predicting behavioral dynamics on the web
Proceedings of the 21st international conference on World Wide Web
Clash of the Contagions: Cooperation and Competition in Information Diffusion
ICDM '12 Proceedings of the 2012 IEEE 12th International Conference on Data Mining
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With the ever-increasing speed of content turnover on the web, it is particularly important to understand the patterns that pages' popularity follows. This paper focuses on the dynamical part of the web, i.e. pages that have a limited lifespan and experience a short popularity outburst within it. We classify these pages into five patterns based on how quickly they gain popularity and how quickly they lose it. We study the properties of pages that belong to each pattern and determine content topics that contain disproportionately high fractions of particular patterns. These developments are utilized to create an algorithm that approximates with reasonable accuracy the expected popularity pattern of a web page based on its URL and, if available, prior knowledge about its domain's topics.