Local versus Global Lessons for Defect Prediction and Effort Estimation

  • Authors:
  • Tim Menzies;Andrew Butcher;David Cok;Andrian Marcus;Lucas Layman;Forrest Shull;Burak Turhan;Thomas Zimmermann

  • Affiliations:
  • West Virginia University, Morgantown;West Virginia University, Morgantown;GrammaTech, Ithaca;Wayne State University, Detroit;Fraunhofer Center, College Park;Fraunhofer Center, College Park;University of Oulu, Oulu;Microsoft Research, Redmond

  • Venue:
  • IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering
  • Year:
  • 2013

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Abstract

Existing research is unclear on how to generate lessons learned for defect prediction and effort estimation. Should we seek lessons that are global to multiple projects or just local to particular projects? This paper aims to comparatively evaluate local versus global lessons learned for effort estimation and defect prediction. We applied automated clustering tools to effort and defect datasets from the PROMISE repository. Rule learners generated lessons learned from all the data, from local projects, or just from each cluster. The results indicate that the lessons learned after combining small parts of different data sources (i.e., the clusters) were superior to either generalizations formed over all the data or local lessons formed from particular projects. We conclude that when researchers attempt to draw lessons from some historical data source, they should 1) ignore any existing local divisions into multiple sources, 2) cluster across all available data, then 3) restrict the learning of lessons to the clusters from other sources that are nearest to the test data.