Anticipatory driving competence: motivation, definition & modeling

  • Authors:
  • Patrick Stahl;Birsen Donmez;Greg A. Jamieson

  • Affiliations:
  • University of Toronto, Toronto, ON;University of Toronto, Toronto, ON;University of Toronto, Toronto, ON

  • Venue:
  • Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Automotive User Interfaces and Interactive Vehicular Applications
  • Year:
  • 2013

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Abstract

Anticipation of future events is recognized to be a significant element of driver competence. Surely, guiding one's behavior through the anticipation of future traffic states provides potential gains in recognition and reaction times. However, the role of anticipation in driving and ways to support it have not been systematically studied. In this paper, we identify the characteristics of anticipatory driving and provide a working definition. In particular, we distinguish it from overall driving goals such as eco or defensive driving, but rather present it as a high-level competence for efficient positioning of the vehicle to ultimately facilitate these goals. We also argue that anticipation occurs within the context of stereotypical scenarios and provide an initial taxonomy for the identification of such scenarios. We suggest the Decision Ladder as a useful way of modeling anticipatory driving and finally discuss a potential approach for the facilitation of anticipatory driving through skill- and rule-based behavior, which can allow for shortcuts on the Decision Ladder.