Simulation for the Social Scientist
Simulation for the Social Scientist
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Mobile telephone service was first introduced to Japanese market in the mid-1980s and from then on, this area of business has shown a rapid growth of the number of the subscribers. However, recently, the mobile telephone market in Japan has become saturated. Most of the adult populations have at least one mobile phone set nowadays. Moreover, there are hardly any distinct differences in the quality of voice/packet services or, in the performance of the mobile phone sets of different operators. In this situation, mobile telephone operators are taking different approaches to attract new users as well as users from their competitors. However, as the industry is well saturated, it is difficult to predict the effect of these strategies of the companies in the market. This paper will propose a model that will help the market researchers to estimate the effects of any business strategy based on user mobility. The simulation result of this research will help the strategy makers of the field of mobile telecommunication to understand the current user sentiment and to predict the reaction of the users before any new service is introduced to the market. In this research, the Conjoint Analysis Method has been used to find the user utility function and the Agent Based Simulation ABS method has been used to simulate the movement of the market. The result can be used in the future and it will be possible to implement this same model with few adjustments to predict the user movement in other market conditions..