Diffusion methods for wind power ramp detection

  • Authors:
  • Ángela Fernández;Carlos M. Alaíz;Ana M. González;Julia Díaz;José R. Dorronsoro

  • Affiliations:
  • Departamento de Ingeniería Informática and Instituto de Ingeniería del Conocimiento, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain;Departamento de Ingeniería Informática and Instituto de Ingeniería del Conocimiento, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain;Departamento de Ingeniería Informática and Instituto de Ingeniería del Conocimiento, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain;Departamento de Ingeniería Informática and Instituto de Ingeniería del Conocimiento, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain;Departamento de Ingeniería Informática and Instituto de Ingeniería del Conocimiento, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain

  • Venue:
  • IWANN'13 Proceedings of the 12th international conference on Artificial Neural Networks: advances in computational intelligence - Volume Part I
  • Year:
  • 2013

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Abstract

The prediction and management of wind power ramps is currently receiving large attention as it is a crucial issue for both system operators and wind farm managers. However, this is still an issue far from being solved and in this work we will address it as a classification problem working with delay vectors of the wind power time series and applying local Mahalanobis K-NN search with metrics derived from Anisotropic Diffusion methods. The resulting procedures clearly outperform a random baseline method and yield good sensitivity but more work is needed to improve on specificity and, hence, precision.