Integrated assessment model of society-biosphere-climate-economy-energy system

Authors:
Mohammad K. Akhtar;Jacob Wibe;Slobodan P. Simonovic;Jim Macgee
Affiliations:
Authorization, Ministry of Forests, Lands and Natural Resource Operations, Surrey, British Columbia, Canada;Department of Economics, University of Colorado, Denver, CO, USA;Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada;Department of Economics, The University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada
Venue:
Environmental Modelling & Software
Year:
2013

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Abstract

The feedback based integrated assessment model ANEMI_2 represents the society-biosphere-climate-economy-energy system of the earth and biosphere. The ANEMI_2 model is based on the system dynamics simulation approach that (a) allows for the understanding and modeling of complex global change and (b) assists in the investigation of possible policy options for mitigating, and/or adapting to changing global conditions within an integrated assessment modeling framework. This paper outlines the ANEMI_2 model and its nine system components: climate, carbon cycle, land-use, population, food production, hydrologic cycle, water demand, water quality, and energy-economy. To evaluate market and nonmarket costs and benefits of climate change, the ANEMI_2 model integrates an economic optimization approach, with a focus on the international energy stock and fuel price, climate interrelations and temperature change. The model takes into account all major greenhouse gases (GHG) influencing global temperature and sea-level variation. Results from several scenarios (a) compare well with other information available in the scientific literature, (b) present comprehensive response of the society-biosphere-climate-economy-energy system to the selected scenarios, and (c) confirm the support role of the ANEMI_2 model in the policy development and analyses.