Regular Article: Optimal Adaptive Policies for Sequential Allocation Problems

  • Authors:
  • Apostolos N. Burnetas;Michael N. Katehakis

  • Affiliations:
  • Department of Operations Research, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio, 44106-7235;GSM and RUTCOR, Rutgers University, Newark, New Jersey, 07102-1895

  • Venue:
  • Advances in Applied Mathematics
  • Year:
  • 1996

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Abstract

Consider the problem of sequential sampling frommstatistical populations to maximize the expected sum of outcomes in the long run. Under suitable assumptions on the unknown parameters[formula], it is shown that there exists a classC"Rof adaptive policies with the following properties: (i) The expectednhorizon reward[formula]under any policy @p^0inC"Ris equal to[formula], asn-~, where[formula]is the largest population mean and[formula]is a constant. (ii) Policies inC"Rare asymptotically optimal within a larger classC"U"Fof ''uniformly fast convergent'' policies in the sense that[formula], for any @p@?C"U"Fand any[formula]such that[formula]. Policies inC"Rare specified via easily computable indices, defined as unique solutions to dual problems that arise naturally from the functional form of[formula]. In addition, the assumptions are verified for populations specified by nonparametric discrete univariate distributions with finite support. In the case of normal populations with unknown means and variances, we leave as an open problem the verification of one assumption.