Hybrid Classifiers for Financial Multicriteria Decision Making: TheCase of Bankruptcy Prediction

Authors:
Ignacio Olmeda;Eugenio Ferná/ndez
Affiliations:
Departamento de Fundamentos de Economí/a e Historia Econó/mica Universidad de Alcalá/, de Henares 28802 Madrid Spain. Ph:+34-1-8854202, Fax: +34-1-8854239/ e-mail: eholmeda@fueco.alc ...;Departamento de Ciencias de la Computació/n Universidad de Alcalá/, de Henares 28802 Madrid Spain. Ph:+34-1-8854202, Fax: +34-1-8854239/ e-mail: ehefv@funeco.alcala.es
Venue:
Computational Economics
Year:
1997

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Abstract

This paper compares the accuracy of parametric and nonparametric classifiers on the problem of predicting Bankruptcy. Among the single classifiers, an artificial neural network is found to provide the best results. Two ways of combining classifiers are considered and an additive aggregation method is proposed. We show that both ways of combining produce classifiers whose forecasts are more accurate than the ones obtained with any single model. We suggest that an optimal system for risk rating should combine two or more different techniques.