A probabilistic model for software projects

Authors:
Frank Padberg
Affiliations:
Univ. Saarbrücken, Saarbrücken, Germany
Venue:
ESEC/FSE-7 Proceedings of the 7th European software engineering conference held jointly with the 7th ACM SIGSOFT international symposium on Foundations of software engineering
Year:
1999

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Abstract

A probabilistic model for software development projects is constructed. The model can be applied to compute an estimate for the development time of a project. The chances of succeeding with a given amount of time and the risk of deviating from the estimate can be computed as well. Examples show that the model behaves as expected when the input data are changed.