Predicting student success in an introductory programming course

  • Authors:
  • Terry R. Hostetler

  • Affiliations:
  • Global Analytics, Inc., 10065 Old Grove Road, San Diego, California

  • Venue:
  • ACM SIGCSE Bulletin
  • Year:
  • 1983

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Abstract

This paper examines to what extent a student's aptitude in computer programming may be predicted through measuring certain cognitive skills, personality traits and past academic achievement. The primary purpose of this study was to build a practical and reliable model for predicting success in programming, with hopes of better counseling students. Results from correlating predictor variables with a student's final numerical score confirmed past studies which showed the diagramming and reasoning tests of the Computer Programmer Aptitude Battery and a student's GPA to be the predictors most closely associated with success. A multiple regression equation developed from 5 predictors correctly classified 61 of 79 students (77.2%) into low and high aptitude groups.