Anticipatory Planning Support System

  • Authors:
  • John R. Surdu;John M. D. Hill;Udo W. Pooch

  • Affiliations:
  • United States Military Academy, West Point, NY;Texas A&M University, College Station, TX;Texas A&M University College Station, TX

  • Venue:
  • Proceedings of the 32nd conference on Winter simulation
  • Year:
  • 2000

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Abstract

A new approach to military planning and execution has been proposed. This approach seeks to merge planning and execution, and replaces reaction to events with anticipation of events. This paper presents a methodology for building an automated system to support Anticipatory Planning. A Plan Description is developed to manage the many tree-like branches that occur in planning and execution of an operation. A Planning Executive can use the differences between the plan and the actual operation to control the activities of Planners and Execution Monitors in anticipating future branches to the plan. At the heart of the system are inference mechanisms for determining branches in the plan and simulations for predicting future states. This methodology enables the development of a prototype Anticipatory Planning Support System for evaluation of this new approach to military planning and execution. This paper concentrates on the activities of the Execution Monitors and their use of simulation to support those activities.