Fumbling the future: how Xerox invented, then ignored, the first personal computer
Fumbling the future: how Xerox invented, then ignored, the first personal computer
The innovator's dilemma: when new technologies cause great firms to fail
The innovator's dilemma: when new technologies cause great firms to fail
BT Technology Journal
BT Technology Journal
BT Technology Journal
BT Technology Journal
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For many decades, all kinds of technological change have been debated and analysed at length. Conventional thinking has focused on how technical impact changes with time, typically describing an S-shaped curve. The authors believe this approach is useful but narrow. Greater insight into events and their motivating factors can be found, especially for dramatic or disruptive kinds of change. This is possible by literally adding another dimension to the thinking and to the diagram, producing a 'phase-space' picture of the impact of technology. Examples of this approach are discussed.