Functional Estimation with Respect to a Threshold Parametervia Dynamic Split-and-Merge

  • Authors:
  • Yu-Chi (Larry) Ho

  • Affiliations:
  • -

  • Venue:
  • Discrete Event Dynamic Systems
  • Year:
  • 1997

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Abstract

We consider a class of stochastic models for whichthe performance measure is defined as a mathematical expectationthat depends on a parameter \theta, say \alpha(\theta),and we are interested in constructing estimators of \alphain functional form (i.e., entire functions of \theta),which can be computed from a single simulation experiment. Wefocus on the case where \theta is a continuous parameter,and also consider estimation of the derivative \alpha‘(\theta).One approach for doing that, when \theta is a parameterof the probability law that governs the system, is based on theuse of likelihood ratios and score functions. In this paper,we study a different approach, called split-and-merge, for thecase where \theta is a threshold parameter. Thisapproach can be viewed as a practical way of running parallelsimulations at an infinite number of values of \theta,with common random numbers. We give several examples showinghow different kinds of parameters such as the arrival rate ina queue, the probability that an arriving customer be of a giventype, a scale parameter of a service time distribution, and soon, can be turned into threshold parameters. We also discussimplementation issues.