Predicting Time Series with Support Vector Machines
ICANN '97 Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Artificial Neural Networks
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Based on biological data we examine the ability of Support Vector Machines (SVMs) with gaussian kernels to learn and predict the nonlinear dynamics of single biological neurons. We show that SVMs for regression learn the dynamics of the pyloric dilator neuron of the australian crayfish, and we determine the optimal SVM parameters with regard to the test error. Compared to conventional RBF networks, SVMs learned faster and performed a better iterated one-step-ahead prediction with regard to training and test error. From a biological point of view SVMs are especially better in predicting the most important part of the dynamics, where the membranpotential is driven by superimposed synaptic inputs to the threshold for the oscillatory peak.