On the Evaluation of Probabilistic Networks

  • Authors:
  • Linda C. van der Gaag;Silja Renooij

  • Affiliations:
  • -;-

  • Venue:
  • AIME '01 Proceedings of the 8th Conference on AI in Medicine in Europe: Artificial Intelligence Medicine
  • Year:
  • 2001

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Abstract

As more and more probabilistic networks are being developed for medical applications, the question arises as to their value for clinical practice. Often the clinical value of a network is expressed as the percentage correct of predicted overall outcome, based upon an evaluation study using real-life patient data. In this paper, we propose another method of evaluation that focuses on intermediate outcomes of interest. We illustrate this method for a real-life probabilistic network for the staging of oesophageal cancer and show that it can provide valuable information in addition to a percentage correct.