A fuzzy project scheduling approach to minimize schedule risk for product development

  • Authors:
  • Juite Wang

  • Affiliations:
  • Department of Industrial Engineering, Feng Chia University, 100 Wenhwa Road, Seatwen Taichung 407, Taiwan, ROC

  • Venue:
  • Fuzzy Sets and Systems - Special issue: Optimization and decision support systems
  • Year:
  • 2002

Quantified Score

Hi-index 0.00

Visualization

Abstract

The efficient management of product development projects is important to reduce the required development time and cost. However, each project is unique in nature and the duration of activities involed in a project often cannot be predicted accurately. The uncertainty of activity duration may lead to incorrect scheduling decisions. The objective of this research is to develop a fuzzy scheduling methodology to deal with this problem. Possibility theory is used to model the uncertain and flexible temporal information. The concept of schedule risk is proposed to evaluate the schedule performance. A fuzzy beam search algorithm is developed to determine a schedule with the minimum schedule risk and the start time of each activity is selected to maximize the minimum satisfaction degrees of all temporal constraints. In addition, the properties of schedule risk are also discussed. We show that the proposed methodology can assist project managers in selecting a schedule with the least possibility of being late in an uncertain scheduling environment. An example with an electronic product development project is used to illustrate the developed approach.