Combining Neural Networks with other Prediction Techniques

  • Authors:
  • Andreas Scherer

  • Affiliations:
  • -

  • Venue:
  • HICSS '96 Proceedings of the 29th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences Volume 2: Decision Support and Knowledge-Based Systems
  • Year:
  • 1996
  • Hybrid expert system

    EHAC'05 Proceedings of the 4th WSEAS International Conference on Electronics, Hardware, Wireless and Optical Communications

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Abstract

The complexity and the inherent heterogeneity of real world problems are still one of the major challenges in computer science. Due to the necessity to use different data processing technologies the general interest in hybrid systems is a fast growing research area. For supporting the integration of intercommunicating hybrids this paper suggests the use of distributed software architectures. The main advantages of the approach presented in this paper are the encapsulation of different paradigms, the separation of control and domain knowledge and the reduction of the complexity of individual problem solvers. The first section of the paper gives an overview of the state of the art in hybrid processing. A taxonomy of currently known hybrid system approaches is discussed.Because of the special importance of distributed artificial intelligence (DAI) for our argumentation we examine in section 2 issues and research directions in this field and concludes with the presentation of DAI as an integrative paradigm. Then, the following section describes a case study. We give an overview of the domain (economics) and discuss some prediction methods usually used in this area. After introducing some simple economic relationships and a description of how to use neural networks in multi variate prediction the paper shows how connectionist techniques are embedded in a distributed problem solving framework, called PREDICTOR.The last section shows an example in which a hybrid system out performs the homogenous approaches by combining them intelligently. PREDICTOR is a case study of how to design a so called intercommunicating hybrid system.