Stochastic processes
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The advent of large computers has made a significant impact upon decision theory with their ability to generate a large number of simulations within a relatively short period of time. Better estimates of a system's capabilities and parameters can be made with a larger number of simulations, but it should always be remembered that the accuracy of these estimates is dependent upon the accuracy with which the system is simulated. This paper discusses the methods of investigation and implementation of the probabilistic aspects of nuclear plant outage in a model which simulates the operation of a large hydro thermal power supply system.