A tutorial on statistical analysis of simulation output data

  • Authors:
  • Averill M. Law

  • Affiliations:
  • -

  • Venue:
  • WSC '80 Proceedings of the 12th conference on Winter simulation
  • Year:
  • 1980

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Abstract

In many simulation studies a large amount of time and money is spent on model development, but little effort is made to analyze the simulation output data in a proper manner. Since most simulation models use random variables as input, the output data are themselves random and care must therefore be taken in drawing conclusions about the system under study. In this paper we present an up-to-date treatment of procedures which can be used for constructing confidence intervals for measures of performance of a simulated system. The emphasis will be on simple, easy-to-use procedures which have been shown to perform well in practice.